TL/DR –
The US primary season is set to intensify, and former President Donald Trump is predicted to win most, if not all, of the upcoming contests, nearly securing the Republican nomination. Polls indicate that Trump could win as much as 90% of the delegates available on Super Tuesday, as he currently holds around 80% of the national vote. Despite the bloody Middle East conflict and the Hamas invasion of Israel, Trump has maintained a hands-off approach, reflecting the anti-interventionist shift he has brought about in the Republican Party over his tenure.
Primary Season Enters Overdrive as Trump Nears Republican Nomination
As the primary season accelerates, Donald Trump is poised to dominate upcoming contests. His likely victories bring him closer to securing the Republican nomination.
Understanding Delegate Allocation
The Republican candidate needs a majority of 2,429 delegates to secure the party’s nomination, with each state having its own method for delegate allocation. Depending on state rules, one candidate may even receive all delegates upon winning.
Super Tuesday Potential Outcomes
Trump’s current polling suggests he could win over 90% of the Super Tuesday delegates. Even with proportional delegate allocation, Trump could win most of the delegates if polls are accurate.
Predicting the Nomination
When could Trump secure the nomination?
While the earliest date Trump could mathematically clinch the nomination is March 12, it’s more likely he would do so by March 19. Follow the delegate count to stay updated.
Trump’s Stance on Middle East Conflict
During the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas, Trump has maintained a generally laissez-faire approach. His criticisms of President Biden’s handling of the crisis and past issues with Benjamin Netanyahu have been central to his commentary on the situation.
What does this mean for the Trump campaign?
Trump’s high polling numbers and the division within the Democratic Party over Israel provide him with some political advantage. However, his foreign policy plans remain uncertain.
— Jonathan Swan, Maggie Haberman, and Michael Gold
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