TL/DR –
The Carbon Scoring Project is assessing emissions throughout the economy, focusing in particular on energy-related emissions from the power, industry, transportation, and building sectors. The project uses various in-house models and data from the Annual Energy Outlook 2023 report to project emissions and evaluate the impact of recent policies and increased electricity demand. The team is committed to transparency and makes all results available through an interactive data tool, and plans to make the datasets used in their models publicly available for future carbon scores.
The Carbon Scoring Project: Assessment of US Emissions
The Carbon Scoring Project evaluates energy and non-energy emissions across the economic sectors. Our primary carbon score zeroes in on four sectors – power, industry, transportation, and buildings – contributing the most energy-related emissions.
Understanding the Modelling Process
RFF’s exclusive models project emissions in power and transportation sectors. The Haiku model simulates power generation changes and Vehicle Market Model predicts light-duty vehicle purchases. We base our projections for buildings, industrial, and transportation sectors on the Annual Energy Outlook 2023 report released by the US Energy Information Administration. Our forecasts include both emissions and electricity demand, factoring in policy impacts like the Inflation Reduction Act and increased demand due to sector electrification. We also evaluate the health benefits from reduced power sector air pollution using the US Environmental Protection Agency’s Estimating Air Pollution Social Impact Using Regression model.
Transparency and Accessibility in Data
All results from our examinations are accessible via the Carbon Scoring Project’s interactive data tool, adhering to our transparency commitment. The Haiku model’s source code is openly available. Moreover, we’re taking steps to make our model’s underlying data sets publicly accessible for future carbon scores.
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