TL/DR –
A new internal poll conducted for Senate Republicans suggests that Kari Lake may be trailing Democrat Ruben Gallego by four points in the Arizona Senate race. Lake, who has Trump’s endorsement, believes that independent and “disaffected” Democrats will be crucial to her Senate run, despite a poll showing only 30% of independents favor her. Lake’s two main issues are her association with Trump and her own controversial statements, and support for criminalizing abortion could further alienate moderate voters.
Kari Lake faces potential defeat in Arizona Senate race, new poll suggests
A recent internal poll by the National Republican Senate Committee shows a challenging outlook for Kari Lake, with the data suggesting a potential defeat in the Arizona Senate race. Lake lags behind Democrat Ruben Gallego by four points, while independent Kyrsten Sinema is pulling away support from Lake.
Kari Lake seeks support from independents and “disaffected” Democrats
Despite the unfavorable polls, Lake, who has the backing of Trump, believes that independents and “disaffected” Democrats hold the key to her Senate run. She expressed this view in an interview with the Washington Examiner.
Stumbling Blocks: Trump and Lake’s own rhetoric
Two major issues may cost Lake the race; her association with Trump and her own confrontational rhetoric. While Trump’s backing may be beneficial in a Republican primary, it might be detrimental in the November election. Lake’s aggressive comments and far-right endorsements could also alienate moderate Republicans and independents.
Abortion stance: Another potential hurdle for Lake
Lake’s stance on abortion could also prove problematic. Despite attempting to soften her views on the issue, she has previously expressed support for the overturning of Roe v. Wade, which could deter “disaffected” Democrats and independents.
Despite controversy, Sinema polls well with independents and moderate Republicans
Meanwhile, Sinema is fairing well in polls among independents and moderate Republicans, despite controversy among Democrats. The NSRC poll indicates Sinema is pulling more votes from Lake than Gallego, suggesting a complicated race for Lake.
The lack of financial support from Republican leaders such as Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell hints at their uncertainty regarding Lake’s chances of success in securing the Senate seat for Republicans.
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