
Houthis in Yemen: Observing Sidelines or Preparing for New Battle?
TL/DR –
The Houthi rebel group in Yemen, backed by Iran, has controlled the capital Sanaa and much of the country’s northwest since 2014, partly due to divided opposition and a weak Yemeni government. However, a recent Saudi-backed campaign against the separatist Southern Transitional Council (STC) sees the government claiming control of all territory not under Houthi domination, with President Rashad al-Alimi forming a Supreme Military Committee to integrate all anti-Houthi forces into the Yemeni military. This resurgence by the Yemeni government, combined with the Houthis’ own belief that they can achieve total victory, and their perception of the government as a puppet of Saudi Arabia and the West, could reignite the stalled conflict.
Houthis Reflect on Recent Developments in Yemen
The Houthis, a Yemeni rebel group backed and funded by Iran, have been observing recent events in Yemen from the sidelines. Having controlled the capital Sanaa and much of the country’s northwest since 2014, the group’s success is attributed to their opponents’ division.
While the Yemeni government has been weak, an ongoing Saudi-backed campaign against the Southern Transitional Council (STC) has led to the government claiming control of all non-Houthi dominated territory.
The Yemeni government, led by President Rashad al-Alimi, has expressed confidence recently, announcing the formation of a Supreme Military Committee (SMC) to integrate all anti-Houthi forces into the Yemeni military.
SMC’s Aggressive Approach Against Houthis
Al-Alimi, in his recent speech, mentioned that the SMC would prepare for the next phase if the militias refuse peaceful solutions. Recognising the threat, high-ranking Houthi officials have expressed the need for preparation to combat.
Houthis and Their Regional Influence
The Houthis believe their survival is a victory in itself, having become influential regional players with their strikes on shipping in the Red Sea and Israel. They have also stood firm against attacks from the United States, the United Kingdom, Israel since 2023, and earlier, the Saudi-led coalition that backs Yemen’s government.
For the Houthis, the Yemeni government is a puppet in the hands of Saudi Arabia and the West. They believe real negotiations can only be held with Riyadh, with the end result being their continued presence in Sanaa.
The Houthi Dilemma
A united anti-Houthi force could pose a significant threat to the Houthis, more than they have faced since at least 2018, when they almost lost their key port, Hodeidah. The conflict in Yemen could thaw, forcing the Houthis to decide on their next move soon.
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