Black Journalists Interview Trump and Harris: A Breakdown of the Dialogue
TL/DR –
Historian Allan Lichtman, who has accurately predicted almost every election outcome for decades, forecasts that Kamala Harris will win the 2024 U.S. election. Lichtman’s prediction model involves 13 “keys” such as economic indicators and candidates’ charisma. If six or more of these keys go against the party in the White House, his model predicts a loss for that party.
Americans recently anticipated two significant political announcements.
Taylor Swift’s endorsement of Kamala Harris after Joe Biden‘s campaign’s end and Allan Lichtman’s prediction. Lichtman, a 77-year-old professor, is famous for his accurate election forecasts.
If six or more of Lichtman’s 13 factors go against the party in power, he predicts they’ll lose. His model forecasts that Kamala Harris will defeat Donald Trump.
Despite most national polls showing a too close to call race, Lichtman believes Harris will win. Factors like lack of a significant primary contest and no major third-party candidate favour her.
Despite facing criticism, Lichtman has stood by his unique model. He’s even been accused of being a “Democratic tool,” but maintains that his work provides specific guidelines for each key, preventing subjectivity.
Outside politics, Lichtman is an accomplished runner. He recently won medals at the Maryland Senior Olympics, solidifying his participation in next year’s national competition.
Contributing: Karissa Waddick, Elizabeth Beyer
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