NBC News’ Political Analysis: New Polling Averages and Ohio’s Key Senate Race

TL/DR –

NBC News has launched new polling averages that analyze President Donald Trump’s approval rating and which political party voters will likely support in the upcoming election. Current data shows the Democratic Party at its strongest point this cycle, with a 9-point advantage, largely due to dissatisfaction with Trump among independent voters. In Ohio’s upcoming senate race, Appalachia is predicted to be a key area, with recent primary results showing weaker support for Republican candidate Vivek Ramaswamy and potential opportunities for Democratic rival Amy Acton.


Welcome to From the Politics Desk, your daily source for NBC News political analyses from the White House, Capitol Hill, and campaign trail.

In this edition, Scott Bland discusses our new polling averages, and Henry J. Gomez examines the importance of Appalachia in Ohio’s Senate race.

Key insights from NBC News’ polling averages

Analysis by Scott Bland

Today, NBC News presents new polling averages on President Donald Trump approval rating and their Congressional picks.

Democrats are currently at their strongest this cycle. Undecided voters could swing the vote either way in coming weeks. Trump’s falling approval among independent and Republican voters is concerning for the GOP.

Discover more about our polling averages →

Race, religion, and private jet make Appalachia an Ohio battleground

By Henry J. Gomez

Despite Vivek Ramaswamy’s substantial victory in Ohio’s Republican primary, Democrats see potential in Appalachia, a region where Ramaswamy showed weakness. His Democratic rival, Amy Acton, is focused on reducing Ramaswamy’s lead in these areas.

Learn more →

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