Predictions for New York’s Political Landscape in 2026: Power Struggles, Elections, and Rising Stars
TL/DR –
Newly elected New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani is expected to face various challenges as he commences his term. With ongoing threats from the Trump administration, contentious congressional elections and potential power struggles within the state, Mamdani’s relationship with state leaders and his ability to implement his policy agenda will be put to the test. Additionally, Governor Kathy Hochul is preparing to defend her position in the upcoming re-election battle.
Upcoming Challenges for New York Leadership in 2026
The year 2026 brings a new wave of political races, policy decisions, and power dynamics in New York.
At the start of the year, Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani will step into office facing the challenge of implementing his ambitious policies. His success will heavily depend on his relationship with state leaders and the City Council, led by presumptive Speaker Julie Menin. Meanwhile, Gov. Kathy Hochul is preparing for her reelection bid, contending with her own lieutenant governor, Antonio Delgado, and Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman. Opposition also comes from the Trump administration’s funding cuts and immigration policies.
The upcoming congressional elections are predicted to be highly competitive, with several of them slated for 2026.
City & State consulted seven political experts for their insights into 2026’s political landscape. Their predictions have been edited for brevity and clarity.
Notable Queries in NY’s Political Future
Promising Contenders for Vacant Congressional Seats
Both NY-12 and NY-7 races are predicted to be a toss-up. Contestants include Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and Council Members Julie Won and Tiffany Cabán, amongst others.
The Next Big Fiscal Battle in Albany?
Revenue generation to fill the gap from federal cuts seems to be the imminent battle. Issues like affordability, child care, housing, and transit are expected to dominate the debates.
Gov. Kathy Hochul’s Reelection and Potential Running Mate
While Hochul’s reelection is seen favorably, her potential running mates might include Brooklyn District Attorney Eric Gonzalez or state Dormitory Authority President and CEO Robert Rodriguez.
Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani’s Relationship with the Trump Administration
Mamdani is expected to maintain a cooperative yet contentious relationship with the Trump administration, primarily concerning issues of finance and values.
First Significant Dispute Between Mamdani and Hochul
The major disagreement between Mamdani and Hochul might be over taxing the rich.
Rising Political Stars of New York in 2026
The names to watch include Brian Cunningham, Virginia Maloney, Kayla Santosuosso, Frank Morano, Matt Slater, and Jordan Wright, amongst others.
Most Vulnerable NY Incumbent in 2026
Assembly Member Jaime Williams appears to be at risk due to her recent controversial stances. She faces a strong primary challenge from Jibreel Jalloh.
Possible Political Comebacks in 2026
Despite speculation regarding Andrew Cuomo’s return, the upcoming year seems to favor fresh faces instead of political comebacks.
Next Steps for Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Mayor Eric Adams
Former Gov. Cuomo might contemplate a Congressional run in New York’s 1st District, while Adams’ next move remains uncertain.
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