Is the IRA Immune to Trump’s Influence?

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TL/DR –

Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which is crucial for clean energy, is at risk of repeal by a potential GOP sweep led by Donald Trump. However, the IRA has garnered support in Republican domains due to subsidies and investments in these areas, making its repeal politically challenging. Despite opposition from conservative activists and Trump, the economic interests aligned with the IRA could give it a chance of survival in the event of a Republican victory.


Is the Inflation Reduction Act Immune to a Trump Reversal?

Constructing a Political Shield to Protect the IRA from Repeal

Trump aims to repeal Biden’s renowned Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), leading to potential risks for a GOP success in the upcoming November elections. However, recent developments signal that the IRA has built a strong political following, even within Republican territories, complicating its repeal and possibly encouraging more support for green energy expansion.

Due to the geographic distribution of IRA’s funding, majorly favoring Republican and swing states like Georgia and Michigan, eliminating subsidies becomes a challenging task for opponents. This funding supports huge factories manufacturing batteries and electric vehicles. The Citizens’ Climate Lobby aptly illustrates this in their map:

Is the IRA Immune to Trump’s Influence?

Additionally, subsidies for nuclear energy and carbon capture have generated unlikely alliances for an environmental law.

According to E&E Daily, over 300 clean energy business leaders wrote to congressional leaders, defending the IRA and warning that its repeal would harm American businesses and workers.

In a surprising turn of events, the Shell Oil CEO voiced against the IRA repeal, advocating for the positive influence of IRA and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law in attracting investments and creating jobs.

Politico reported that GOP lawmakers also showed interest in preserving IRA’s energy tax credits, even if Trump wins a second term.

The IRA’s economic impact, generating over 523 new projects, creating 271,713 new jobs, and attracting more than $352 billion in investments, cannot be ignored. Yet, nothing is guaranteed. Despite economic interests backing the IRA, conservative activists and Trump remain staunchly opposed to the law. Nevertheless, the IRA’s repeal will be a tough task given the strong economic interests supporting it. This may provide the IRA with a chance of survival even in the event of a Republican sweep.


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