Trump Presidency May Challenge Biden’s Key Climate Victory

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TL/DR –

The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), passed in 2022 by Democrats, has helped combat climate change through tax credits for carbon-friendly energy sources, electric vehicles, and grants for pollution-cutting projects. Republicans have criticized the Act, with former President Trump stating a potential return to power would include repealing parts of the IRA. Opponents of the act argue that it should focus more on saving U.S. taxpayers money and preventing funds from reaching the Chinese Communist Party.


Impact of Potential Trump Presidency on Democrats’ Inflation Reduction Act

Democrats’ ambitious Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), passed in 2022, has contributed greatly to combatting climate change. However, these advancements might be jeopardized if former President Trump retakes the presidency and possibly helps a Republican Congress eliminate the IRA.

The IRA comprises tax benefits for carbon-friendly energy sources and electric vehicles aimed at climate protection. It also includes grants for eco-friendly projects that reduce pollution and a protocol for penalizing oil and gas firms for methane leaks harmful to the environment.

Republicans target this law for revision or repeal if they gain control of the presidency and Congress in the future. If they secure the presidency without the Congress or require time to finalize repeal details, a potential second Trump administration might curtail the IRA’s influence through executive action.

Oliver McPherson-Smith, from the right-leaning America First Policy Institute that includes several Trump administration alumni, called for an immediate strategy to prioritize American taxpayers.

The Treasury Department’s taxation credit guidelines could be a potent tool for limiting these programs. The Biden administration’s broad interpretation of these tax credits has made numerous entities eligible, particularly those linked to electric vehicles (EVs).

Regarding a future Trump administration’s approach to the IRA, Trump campaign’s national press secretary Karoline Leavitt claimed that Trump would revoke Biden’s EV mandates and cut costs to curb inflation and revive the economy.

Diana Furchtgott-Roth from the conservative Heritage Foundation suggested that these subsidies could be reduced with a new Treasury interpretation without modifying the law.

The Biden administration issued guidance allowing crossover vehicles to be categorized as SUVs rather than sedans under the credit. Expensive crossover EVs can still receive the $7,500 tax credit.

Trump is a known critic of Biden’s push for EVs and recently unveiled a plan stating his intention to halt American tax dollar flow to Chinese EV battery firms via Biden’s IRA.

Executive action could also curb tax credits for eco-friendly energy production. Travis Fisher from the Cato Institute suggested that a future administration could issue guidance imposing more restrictions on the recurring eligibility of the same project for credits.

The Biden administration proposed guidelines restricting tax credits for hydrogen energy to projects meeting specific climate standards. Despite some Republicans advocating for broader application, others entirely oppose it.

Mike O’Boyle, from Energy Innovation, warned that an administration against the law could seek additional ways to undermine it, emphasizing that cutting funds or reducing agency staff can cause significant slowdowns.

Republican leaders have already attempted to repeal IRA provisions. However, these attempts faced opposition from party members wanting to maintain credits for ethanol.

Despite Republicans’ intention to limit IRA programs, proponents believe potential political backlash could deter actions restricting Americans from receiving tax credits.

Albert Gore, from the Zero Emission Transportation Association, noted that it’s generally less popular to withdraw benefits that people appreciate than to prevent their initial implementation.


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